The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Halifax Town 27.3%
Draw 27.1%
Notts County 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.5%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.8%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Halifax Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Halifax Town's form might have worsened.
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halifax Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
15.4%
69.2%
Halifax Town - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Halifax will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Notts County will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Halifax won 2.
Halifax is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Notts County is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Notts County will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Halifax won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Halifax won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.