The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 52.4%
Draw 25.1%
Notts County 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
24.9%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24.4%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
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X
2
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Mansfield Town - Notts County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 19th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 3.
Mansfield has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Notts County has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mansfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Notts County has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Mansfield for this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Mansfield has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:11 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mansfield against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 14:2 goals (averaging 2.8:0.4 per game).
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