Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 31

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	4
	1.85	3.8	3.7
	1.87	3.75	3.75
	1.87	3.8	3.65
	1.83	4.11	4.05
	1.8	3.9	3.75
	1.81	3.95	3.86	Watch
	1.77	3.85	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	3.9 ↓ (3.94)	3.81 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
51.3%

Draw
24.1%

Notts County
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mansfield Town - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 24. Brunt L. 14. Flint A. (C) 6. Cargill B. 22. Williams G. 8. Clarke O. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 10. Maris G. 7. Akins L. 26. Swan W.	26. Stone A. (G) 32. Warner J. 4. Cameron K. (C) 15. Baldwin A. 11. Nemane A. 16. Bostock J. 20. Robertson S. 10. Jones J. 7. Crowley D. 9. Langstaff M. 17. McGoldrick D.
Substitutes
28. Abdullah M. 44. Boateng H. 19. Cooper G. 13. Flinders S. (G) 15. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. 9. Nichols T.	21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 8. Austin S. 28. Macari L. 6. O'Brien J. 14. Randall W. 5. Rawlinson C.
Coaches
Clough N.	Maynard S.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
27.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Morecambe - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Mansfield Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
01.01.24	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLW
- Notts County
English League Two
27.01.24	Notts County - Barrow	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Grimsby Town - Notts County	5:5 ✺
01.01.24	Tranmere Rovers - Notts County	4:2 ✺
29.12.23	Notts County - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
26.12.23	Notts County - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.10.23	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:4
16.02.19	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:0
08.12.18	Mansfield Town - Notts County	2:0
17.03.18	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
24.10.17	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:2
English League Two
30.09.17	Mansfield Town - Notts County	3:1
14.01.17	Notts County - Mansfield Town	0:0

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