Match Info

Date: 19 January 2021, Tuesday


	Halifax Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.25	5.5
	1.45	4.2	5.5
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.49	4.35	6.68
	1.44	4	7
	1.47	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.55)	6.21 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halifax Town
63.3%

Draw
21.8%

Southport
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

20.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

12.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Halifax Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Halifax Town - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Halifax is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Southport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Halifax is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Halifax won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Halifax won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Halifax Town
English National League
09.01.21	King`s Lynn Town - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Halifax Town - Altrincham	3:2 ✺
26.12.20	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	3:1 ✺
22.12.20	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLWW
- Southport
English National League North
26.12.20	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Spennymoor Town - Southport	2:3 penalties ✺
15.12.20	Marine - Southport	0:1 ✺
English National League North
12.12.20	Guiseley - Southport	4:2 ✺
05.12.20	Southport - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.03.16	Southport - Halifax Town	0:1
19.09.15	Halifax Town - Southport	2:2
03.03.15	Southport - Halifax Town	1:0
12.08.14	Halifax Town - Southport	3:1
21.04.14	Southport - Halifax Town	2:1
26.08.13	Halifax Town - Southport	1:0

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