Match Info
National League North - Round 36Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday
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Southport |
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Alfreton Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.8 |
3.5 |
3.75 |
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1.82 |
3.5 |
3.95 |
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1.85 |
3.58 |
4.08 |
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4.16 |
3.22 |
1.91 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
3.3 |
4 |
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1.76 |
3.4 |
4.23 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.75) |
3.42 ↓
(3.5) |
3.65 ↓
(3.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Southport
44.4% | Draw
28.7% | Alfreton Town
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southport's form might have worsened.Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5%)Southport - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Salmon L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Gnahoua A. ⚽,
- 79', 2 - 1, McKenzie M. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 16 and 23 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 2.Southport is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Alfreton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Southport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Southport will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Southport: 0.71%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 16.12.25 | Alfreton Town - Southport | 1:1 | | 04.02.25 | Alfreton Town - Southport | 0:2 | | 10.08.24 | Southport - Alfreton Town | 3:1 | | 27.01.24 | Southport - Alfreton Town | 2:3 | | 12.08.23 | Alfreton Town - Southport | 3:1 | | 21.03.23 | Southport - Alfreton Town | 0:0 | | 20.08.22 | Alfreton Town - Southport | 4:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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