Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Leuna Chemie Stadion (Halle)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Hallescher		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2	3.6	3.42
	2.03	3.86	3.53
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.97	3.64	3.38
	1.96	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.76)	3.61 ↓ (3.64)	3.47 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hallescher
47.4%

Draw
25.8%

Lübeck
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

20.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hallescher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Hallescher - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hallescher will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Lübeck will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hallescher: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Schulze P. (G) 42. Eitschberger J. 31. Landgraf N. 33. Nietfeld J. (C) 22. Hug N. 6. Lofolomo E. 20. Deniz T. 10. Gayret T. 23. Halimi B. 28. Baumann D. 15. Bonga T.	1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 5. Herzog A. 20. Taffertshofer U. 33. Schneider J. 31. Boland M. (C) 21. Velasco R. 39. Breier P.
Substitutes
25. Ajani M. 11. Baumgart T. 40. Berko E. 17. Casar A. 16. Halangk L. 1. Muller S. (G) 9. Skenderovic M. 5. Vollert J. 37. Wolf M.	34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 16. Beleme D. 23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 8. Egerer F. 17. Grupe T. 35. Stein Y. (G)
Coaches
Ristic S.	Schnorrenberg F.

Preview

Hallescher has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lübeck is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lübeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hallescher will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hallescher won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
18.02.24	1860 München - Hallescher	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	2:3 ✺
07.02.24	Unterhaching - Hallescher	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sandhausen - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Hallescher - Waldhof Mannheim	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Lübeck - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Dynamo Dresden - Lübeck	7:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lübeck - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Lübeck - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:2
27.02.21	Hallescher - Lübeck	2:1
24.10.20	Lübeck - Hallescher	2:3

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