Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lübeck		1860 München

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.21	3.63	2.24
	2.88	3.3	2.1
	3.07	3.45	2.16	Watch
	3	3.35	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.66)	3.45 ↑ (3.42)	2.15 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
30.2%

Draw
26.8%

1860 München
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

1860 München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 1860 München's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Lübeck - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). 1860 München will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 1860 München: 63.4% – 93.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 30. Lohden J. 27. Reddemann S. 3. Kastenhofer N. 20. Taffertshofer U. 31. Boland M. (C) 7. Hauptmann M. 25. Gozusirin T. 21. Velasco R. 14. Akono C.	1. Hiller M. (G) 29. Ludewig K. 4. Verlaat J. (C) 35. Gluck M. 36. Steinhart P. 17. Schroter M. 6. Rieder T. 37. Frey M. 22. Sulejmani V. 7. Guttau J. 19. Lakenmacher F.
Substitutes
34. Adou E. 39. Breier P. 23. Daube M. 8. Egerer F. 29. Facklam M. 17. Grupe T. 33. Schneider J. 35. Stein Y. (G) 13. Thiel M.	32. Bangerter M. 30. Cocic M. 11. Greilinger F. 2. Kurt K. 21. Kwadwo L. 27. Ouro-Tagba M. 15. Richter D. (G) 8. Starke M. 10. Vrenezi A.
Coaches
Schnorrenberg F.	Giannikis A.

Preview

Recent matches Lübeck is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

1860 München is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lübeck could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
20.01.24	Lübeck - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Sandhausen - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Lübeck	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Lübeck - Ingolstadt	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWLL
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
20.01.24	1860 München - Duisburg	4:1 ✺
20.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Arminia Bielefeld - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - 1860 München	3:0 ✺
25.11.23	1860 München - Unterhaching	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.08.23	1860 München - Lübeck	1:2
17.03.21	Lübeck - 1860 München	0:0
10.10.20	1860 München - Lübeck	4:1

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