Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 25

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Leuna Chemie Stadion (Halle)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Hallescher		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.7
	2.45	3.5	2.65
	2.4	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.46	3.55	2.8
	2.45	3.65	2.84
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.41	3.45	2.63
	2.4	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.36)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	2.69 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hallescher
38.7%

Draw
26.7%

Erzgebirge Aue
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

26.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hallescher will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aue will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Schulze P. (G) 42. Eitschberger J. 33. Nietfeld J. 5. Vollert J. 22. Hug N. 6. Lofolomo E. 10. Gayret T. 20. Deniz T. 40. Berko E. 28. Baumann D. 15. Bonga T.	1. Mannel M. (G) 2. Danhof T. 23. Barylla A. 4. Vukancic N. 26. Jakob K. 21. Schikora M. 10. Pepic M. 11. Sijaric O. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
25. Ajani M. 11. Baumgart T. 21. Dietrich T. 16. Halangk L. 8. Kreuzer N. 30. Schulze M. (G) 9. Skenderovic M. 37. Wolf M.	17. Elsner L. T. 40. Ferjani R. 16. Hetzsch F. 25. Kips T. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 9. Meuer S. 12. Schadlich F. 8. Schwirten J. 7. Seitz S.
Coaches
Ristic S.	Dotchev P.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hallescher could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hallescher won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.24	Unterhaching - Hallescher	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Sandhausen - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Hallescher - Waldhof Mannheim	1:4 ✺
23.01.24	Duisburg - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTLWW
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
03.02.24	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
19.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Hertha Berlin - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	3:1
08.04.23	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	5:2
Club Friendly
11.12.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
14.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	1:1
Club Friendly
04.09.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	6:0
German 3 Bundesliga
18.03.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	4:0
03.10.15	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0

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