Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 5

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Örjans Vall (Halmstad)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Halmstad		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.7	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.85
	5.05	3.75	1.74	Watch
	5.28	3.71	1.75
	5	3.63	1.74	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.85
	4.95	3.66	1.68	Watch
	5	3.75	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halmstad
19.6%

Draw
26.2%

Mjällby
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.4%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halmstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halmstad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Halmstad - Mjällby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Halmstad (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Mjällby (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mjällby will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Halmstad (votes: 1 - 10%). Mjällby (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronning T. (G) 3. Wallentin G. 4. Schyberg F. 2. Kurtulus B. 17. Boman A. 6. Allansson J. (C) 13. Eyjolfsson G. 15. Friberg G. 11. Granath V. 9. Agnero Y. 8. Maenpaa N.	1. Tornqvist N. (G) 4. Noren A. 13. Kiilerich J. 5. Iqbal A. 14. Johansson H. 10. Rojkjaer N. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 17. Stroud E. 6. Thorell L. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.
Substitutes
10. Ahlstrand A. 26. Andersson M. 29. Arvidsson L. 20. Chrupalla P. 25. Damnjanovic A. 12. Erlandsson T. (G) 7. Ingason B. 18. Mohammed N. 14. Turgott B.	39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 7. Gustafson V. 9. Kabuye C. 28. Lindberg V. 35. Lundin A. (G) 25. Miftari A. 23. Nilsson O. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Lindholm J.	Torstensson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Agnero Y. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Rojkjaer N. ⚽, Bergstrom J. (A),
25', Maenpaa N. ↓, Mohammed N. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Agnero Y. ⚽, Mohammed N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rojkjaer N. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Manneh A. ⚽, Bergstrom J. (A),
58', Agnero Y. ↓, Turgott B. ↑,
70', Manneh A. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Johansson H. ⚽, Thorell L. (A),
79', Wallentin G. 🟨,
79', Johansson H. ↓, Kabuye C. ↑,
79', Thorell L. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
87', Eyjolfsson G. ↓, Andersson M. ↑,
87', Boman A. ↓, Arvidsson L. ↑,
87', Allansson J. ↓, Damnjanovic A. ↑,
90', Bergstrom J. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
90+1', Stroud E. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Halmstad won 1.

Recent matches Halmstad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjällby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Mjällby is a favorite.

There are questionable in Mjällby: Petersson A. (Inactive) Stavitski T. (Inactive)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Halmstad won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Halmstad won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halmstads BK
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.04.25	Norrköping - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
14.04.25	Halmstad - Öster	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	IFK Göteborg - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Halmstad - Degerfors	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	Kalmar - Halmstad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.04.25	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Häcken - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Mjällby - GAIS	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Elfsborg - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Mjällby - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
02.03.25	Mjällby - Halmstad	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.24	Mjällby - Halmstad	3:1
11.05.24	Halmstad - Mjällby	1:3
22.10.23	Halmstad - Mjällby	1:1
27.05.23	Mjällby - Halmstad	0:2
23.09.21	Mjällby - Halmstad	0:0
13.05.21	Halmstad - Mjällby	1:1

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