Match Info

Svenska Cupen - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Expressen TV, SportExpressen Play, Viaplay


	Mjällby		Hammarby

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.66	3.4	2.03
	4.13	2.58	2.31	Watch
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.64	3.3	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.88)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	2.11 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mjällby
25.6%

Draw
30.1%

Hammarby
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

28.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjällby's form might have worsened.

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjällby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Mjällby - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hammarby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 18. Bergstrom J. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 5. Iqbal A. 10. Kjaer J. 19. Manneh A. 33. Miettinen T. 24. Pettersson T. 17. Stroud E. 6. Thorell L.	1. Hahn W. (G) 7. Abraham P. 20. Besara N. (C) 4. Eriksson V. 6. Fofana I. 11. Johansson O. 8. Karlsson M. 9. Lind V. 26. Madjed M. 2. Skoglund H. 3. Winther F.
Substitutes
39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 7. Gustafson V. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 4. Noren A. 23. Samuelsen A. 11. Stavitski T. 27. Tidstrand L.	28. Adjei F. 15. Hagen O. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 29. Kabore E. 22. Lindberg W. 16. Persson N. 31. Steinke O. 5. Tekie T. 19. Vasic N.
Coaches
Aksum K.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Stroud E. ⚽, Miettinen T. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Abraham P. ⚽, Skoglund H. (A),
44', Lind V. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Kjaer J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Manneh A. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
63', Kjaer J. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
63', Pettersson T. ↓, Noren A. ↑,
66', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
71', Johansson O. ↓, Adjei F. ↑,
71', Lind V. ↓, Persson N. ↑,
82', Besara N. ↓, Tekie T. ↑,
82', Fofana I. ↓, Vasic N. ↑,
88', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
88', Thorell L. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
90+10', Gustafson V. 🟥,
90+11', Abraham P. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Strawberry Arena.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.

Mjällby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hammarby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.05.26	Degerfors - Mjällby	1:4 ✺
03.05.26	Malmö - Mjällby	2:3 ✺
27.04.26	Mjällby - Halmstad	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	GAIS - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTW
- Hammarby IF Football
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.05.26	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hammarby - Västerås SK	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Djurgården - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Hammarby - Halmstad	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Hammarby - Örgryte	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
04.04.26	Hammarby - Mjällby	3:0
22.05.25	Hammarby - Mjällby	1:2
18.04.25	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:1
28.07.24	Hammarby - Mjällby	3:0
15.05.24	Mjällby - Hammarby	3:0
Svenska Cupen
04.03.24	Hammarby - Mjällby	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.08.23	Mjällby - Hammarby	0:3

Upcoming Matches