Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Briskeby Arena (Hamar)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Hamarkameratene		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.72	3.25	2.62	Watch
	2.91	3.3	2.63
	2.85	3.25	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.83	3.27	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.93)	3.3 ↓ (3.54)	2.54 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamarkameratene
34.2%

Draw
28.7%

Fredrikstad
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.6%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamarkameratene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamarkameratene than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	35.7%	50%

Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. HamKam will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - HamKam (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. HamKam (votes: 1 - 20%). Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sandberg M. (G) 2. Granath G. 23. Sjolstad F. (C) 14. Mares L. 7. Jonsson V. 18. Simenstad G. 11. Soras T. 6. Roaldsoy A. 5. Ekeroth A. 19. Lien K. 10. Mawa M.	30. Fischer J. (G) 5. Rafn S. 12. Fredriksen U. 22. Woledzi M. 11. Metcalfe P. 13. Sorlokk S. 6. Owusu L. 19. Shein R. R. 4. Molde S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 9. Holten E.
Substitutes
25. de Ornelas de Conno D. 20. Gonstad J. 34. Larsen M. 22. Nilsen S. 30. Nilsson A. (G) 15. Osnes-Ringen W. 32. Osterud M. 17. Potur A. 9. Udahl H.	18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 16. Eid D. 40. Granaas E. 2. Okpaleke K. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 3. Skaret B. 23. Skogvold H. 31. Solberg E.
Coaches
Myhre T.	Hagen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Lien K. ⚽, Simenstad G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Holten E. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
64', Metcalfe P. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
72', Shein R. R. ↓, Skogvold H. ↑,
78', Mawa M. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
81', Molde S. ↓, Begby L. ↑,
85', Lien K. ↓, Gonstad J. ↑,
85', Sjolstad F. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Fredriksen U. ⚽, Begby L. (A),
90+7', Jonsson V. ↓, Potur A. ↑,
90+9', Bjartalid J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HamKam won 1.

Recent performances by HamKam have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fredrikstad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

HamKam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in HamKam: Kirkevold P. (Knee Injury) Rye O. (Knock)

There will not play in Fredrikstad: Fall F. (Inactive) Kvile S. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in HamKam: Johnsgard M. (Ankle Injury) Opsahl H. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, HamKam won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HamKam won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamarkameratene
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.07.25	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Hamarkameratene - Brann	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Bryne - Hamarkameratene	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Hamarkameratene - Tromsø	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	Strømsgodset - Hamarkameratene	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTTLW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.07.25	Fredrikstad - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Fredrikstad - Molde	4:2 ✺
05.07.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Viking Stavanger - Fredrikstad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.02.25	Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad	0:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.24	Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene	1:0
21.07.24	Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad	0:1
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad	0:4
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.11.21	Hamarkameratene - Fredrikstad	1:0
18.06.21	Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene	0:1
Club Friendly
29.01.16	Fredrikstad - Hamarkameratene	1:1

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