Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Briskeby Arena (Hamar)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+


	Hamarkameratene		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9	Watch
	1.33	5.25	8.25
	1.35	5.35	8
	1.33	5.2	7.6
	1.37	5.55	8.09
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.33	5.35	8.2
	1.33	5.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	5.24 ↑ (5.05)	8.16 ↑ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamarkameratene
70.5%

Draw
17.9%

Jerv
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamarkameratene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamarkameratene than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	7.1%	28.6%

Hamarkameratene - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. HamKam will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Jerv will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HamKam: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Ham Kam has the most likely position - 13 (35.28%), has project points - 32, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (82.95%), has project points - 19, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 18, small importance 26, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ham Kam won 3.

Ham Kam is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jerv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ham Kam is certain favorite.

There will not play in Ham Kam: Dunn-Johnson J. (Injury)

There will not play in Jerv: Ness T. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ham Kam won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ham Kam won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamarkameratene
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.09.22	Odd - Hamarkameratene	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Hamarkameratene - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Hamarkameratene	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Hamarkameratene - Haugesund	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Hamarkameratene	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLLWT
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.09.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Jerv	4:3 ✺
11.09.22	Jerv - Molde	2:4 ✺
04.09.22	Odd - Jerv	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Jerv - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Strømsgodset - Jerv	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
19.06.22	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.09.21	Hamarkameratene - Jerv	3:1
18.08.21	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	0:2
07.10.20	Hamarkameratene - Jerv	2:3
20.07.20	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	3:2
11.08.19	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	1:0
02.06.19	Hamarkameratene - Jerv	2:2

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