Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Discovery+


	Jerv		Molde

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.22	Watch
	11	6.5	1.22
	12.5	6.75	1.22
	9.8	6.4	1.22
	12.04	6.65	1.24
	11	5.8	1.2
	10.75	6.75	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.3 ↓ (11.63)	6.48 ↑ (5.98)	1.22 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
8.3%

Draw
14.5%

Molde
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	17.6%	58.8%

Jerv - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Molde will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (72.11%), has project points - 20, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Molde has the most likely position - 1 (94.23%), has project points - 69, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (94%), has a good chance of win league (94%).

This event has small quality 20, small importance 28, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Jerv is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Molde is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jerv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Molde is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Jerv: Ness T. (Injury) Sandberg E. (Red Card)

There will not play in Molde: Ellingsen M. (Knee Injury) Haraldseid K. (Knee Injury) Sinyan S. (Injury) Ulland-Andersen E. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.09.22	Odd - Jerv	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Jerv - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
21.08.22	Strømsgodset - Jerv	6:0 ✺
14.08.22	Jerv - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.08.22	Jerv - Odd	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL
- Molde FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Molde - Gent	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.09.22	Bodø Glimt - Molde	1:4 ✺
28.08.22	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Wolfsberger - Molde	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Haugesund - Molde	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
06.07.22	Molde - Jerv	1:1

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