Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Discovery+


	Jerv		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	9.5	7	1.25	Watch
	10.5	6.5	1.23
	9	7	1.25
	9	6.4	1.23
	9.29	7.05	1.27
	11	6	1.18
	9.9	6.5	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.74 ↓ (11.23)	6.64 ↑ (6.03)	1.24 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
9.7%

Draw
14.2%

Bodø Glimt
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.2%

15.3%

76.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	20%	48%

Jerv - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Jerv has the most likely position - 15 (57.47%), has project points - 21, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bodø/Glimt has the most likely position - 2 (40.21%), has project points - 60, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), has a chance of win league (20%).

This event has small quality 21, importance 42, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Jerv is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bodø/Glimt is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodø/Glimt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodø/Glimt is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Jerv: Ness T. (Injury)

There will not play in Bodø/Glimt: Fet S. (Injury) Konradsen M. (Injury) Solbakken O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø/Glimt: Sery Larsen J. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Strømsgodset - Jerv	6:0 ✺
14.08.22	Jerv - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.08.22	Jerv - Odd	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.08.22	Haugesund - Jerv	3:1 ✺
30.07.22	Jerv - Vålerenga	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
24.08.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Bodø Glimt	4:1 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Hamarkameratene	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.08.22	Bodø Glimt - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.08.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Bodø Glimt	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.08.22	Žalgiris - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Jerv	5:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.17	Jerv - Bodø Glimt	1:4
11.06.17	Bodø Glimt - Jerv	4:0

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