Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Briskeby Arena (Hamar)

Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Hamarkameratene		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.95	Watch
	3.91	3.87	1.98
	1.03	15.51	33.09	Watch
	3.79	3.83	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (4.1)	6.11 ↑ (3.91)	8.17 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamarkameratene
51.8%

Draw
27.6%

Rosenborg
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.4%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.9%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamarkameratene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamarkameratene's performance.

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamarkameratene than the current prediction. (-28.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamarkameratene that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+32.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Hamarkameratene - Rosenborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. HamKam (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rosenborg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Rosenborg (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. HamKam (votes: 1 - 25%). Rosenborg (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sandberg M. (G) 2. Granath G. 23. Sjolstad F. (C) 3. Amundsen-Day E. 22. Nilsen S. 24. Ibrahimaj Y. 14. Mares L. 15. Osnes-Ringen W. 5. Ekeroth A. 19. Lien K. 20. Gonstad J.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 2. Reitan E. (C) 38. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 16. Witry A. F. 8. Fossum I. 6. Vaananen S. 7. Nordli S. 29. Duris D. 39. Islamovic D. 35. Ceide E. K.
Substitutes
8. Johnsgard M. 7. Jonsson V. 34. Larsen M. 10. Mawa M. 30. Nilsson A. (G) 26. Pedersen M. 17. Potur A. 18. Simenstad G. 11. Soras T.	43. Borgersen A. 56. Holmen I. 15. Mortensen J. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 55. Sandrod E. 60. Slordal E. 50. Volden H. 5. Zeidan M.
Coaches
Myhre T.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lien K. ⚽, Nilsen S. (A),
14', Witry A. F. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
23', Ceide M. K. 🟥,
33', 2 - 0, Ibrahimaj Y. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Ekeroth A. ⚽, Lien K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
61', Ibrahimaj Y. ↓, Johnsgard M. ↑,
61', Sjolstad F. ↓, Soras T. ↑,
69', Nordli S. ↓, Zeidan M. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Reitan E. (Own goal),
76', Vaananen S. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
76', Islamovic D. ↓, Volden H. ↑,
81', Osnes-Ringen W. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
81', Lien K. ↓, Mawa M. ↑,
84', Nilsen S. ↓, Jonsson V. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HamKam won 1.

HamKam is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rosenborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rosenborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rosenborg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rosenborg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in HamKam: Kirkevold P. (Knee Injury) Opsahl H. (Groin Injury) Rye O. (Knock)

There will not play in Rosenborg: Jenssen U. (Injury) Sahsah N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in HamKam: Sjolstad F. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, HamKam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, HamKam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamarkameratene
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Tromsø - Hamarkameratene	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Hamarkameratene - Strømsgodset	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Hamarkameratene	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Hamarkameratene - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLTW
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Mainz - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
13.07.25	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	2:0
10.11.24	Hamarkameratene - Rosenborg	0:2
14.04.24	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	1:0
20.08.23	Hamarkameratene - Rosenborg	3:0
04.06.23	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	4:0
06.08.22	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	2:1
22.05.22	Hamarkameratene - Rosenborg	1:1

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