Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansund)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Kristiansund		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.33	1.53	Watch
	5.00	4.50	1.53
	5.10	4.40	1.54
	5.32	4.75	1.59
	5.54	4.78	1.51	Watch
	5.25	4.65	1.56
	5.56	4.38	1.55
	5.00	4.40	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.97)	4.52 ↑ (3.92)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
17.9%

Draw
20.9%

Rosenborg
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.8%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

23.5%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kristiansund's form might have worsened.

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosenborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kristiansund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosenborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Kristiansund - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lansing M. (G) 59. Elvius M. 4. Juliusson J. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 6. Isaksen J. 10. Bruseth H. 20. Igor W. 16. Tufekcic D. 7. Svendsen S. 24. Christensen G. 19. Alvheim L.	1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 4. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 11. Sahsah N. 17. Bomholt M. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 7. Nordli S. 18. Chiakha A. 35. Ceide E. K.
Substitutes
2. Borset A. 38. Brattoy A. N. 22. Haugen H. 8. Isufi E. 27. Ronning A. 12. Saether A. (G) 14. Skeide S. 23. Svendsen T. 17. Williamsen M.	3. Dahl T. 29. Duris D. 6. Kjolo M. 23. Mampassi M. 15. Mortensen J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 30. Soboczynski M. 22. Svensson J. 5. Volden H.
Coaches
Skiri A.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Tufekcic D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Bomholt M. ⚽,
39', Ulvestad D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tufekcic D. ↓, Svendsen T. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Sahsah N. ⚽,
59', Nordli S. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
59', Witry A. F. ↓, Svensson J. ↑,
69', Bruseth H. ↓, Skeide S. ↑,
69', Ulvestad D. ↓, Williamsen M. ↑,
77', Sahsah N. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
78', Christensen G. ↓, Ronning A. ↑,
78', Igor W. ↓, Borset A. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Chiakha A. ⚽, Pereira A. (A),
90+4', Ceide M. K. ↓, Duris D. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th in the Eliteserien (Relegation) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristiansund won 1.

Kristiansund has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rosenborg shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Kristiansund has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Rosenborg for this game.

Confirmed absences for Kristiansund: Aalberg I. H. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Rosenborg: Bakke J. (Injury) Fossum I. (Thigh Injury) Islamovic D. (Leg Injury) Svensson J. (Thigh Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:37 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kristiansund against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:16 goals (averaging 1.9:1.8 per game).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Rosenborg: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34
15	Kristiansund	22	5	4	13	22:43	-21	19

Last Results with these Odds

Kristiansund - the odds 3.97 are the expected chance of winning is 23.51%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Brattvåg - Kristiansund	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.09.26	Viking Stavanger - Kristiansund	8:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kristiansund - Tromsø	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hamarkameratene - Kristiansund	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTL
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Fløya - Rosenborg	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.09.26	Rosenborg - Tromsø	5:3 ✺
05.09.26	Rosenborg - Hamarkameratene	4:0 ✺
30.08.26	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
12.07.26	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	3:0
22.06.25	Kristiansund - Rosenborg	4:1
01.05.25	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	1:1
01.12.24	Kristiansund - Rosenborg	0:4
26.05.24	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	2:1
Club Friendly
14.03.24	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	2:2
25.02.23	Rosenborg - Kristiansund	3:2

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