The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamilton Academical 47%
Draw 26.4%
Airdrieonians 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
26.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
25.1%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hamilton Academical, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Hamilton Academical - Airdrieonians Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lyness D. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Smutek K. 3. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 8. MacDonald K. 15. Newbury C. 6. Blues C. 7. Thomas D. 29. Ryan A. 27. McKinstry S.
1. Sneddon J. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 4. Ross C. (C) 5. Fisher S. 14. Devine A. 6. Simpson E. 7. Mahon R. 8. Gallagher G. 33. Taylor-Sinclair A. 10. Yates M. 27. Gibson L.
Substitutes
17. Bannigan S. 10. Bradley S. 21. Crookston G. 24. Eadie A. 12. Lane J. (G) 20. McKay J. 5. Owens F. 22. Shiels D. 23. Syme M.
21. Adams R. (G) 12. Boateng K. 11. Bridge A. 3. Easton E. 31. Gallagher D. 17. Lister H. 18. McLeish L. 23. Williams C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, MacDonald K. ⚽, Comrie A. (A),
17', Gibson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, MacDonald K. ⚽, Newbury C. (A),
53', Gibson L. ↓, Burnside C. ↑,
53', Simpson E. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
53', Yates M. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
54', Newbury C. ↓, Bannigan S. ↑,
56', Smutek K. 🟨,
70', Ryan A. 🟨,
72', Comrie A. 🟨,
73', McKinstry S. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
74', Ross C. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Smutek K. ⚽, Thomas D. (A),
84', Ryan A. ↓, Eadie A. ↑,
84', Thomas D. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Airdrieonians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Hamilton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 2.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).
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Lyness D. (G) 
Comrie A. 
Smutek K. 
Mahon R. 
Taylor-Sinclair A. 
McKay J. 
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