Match Info

SCOTLAND: Scottish Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, Saints TV


	Livingston		St. Johnstone

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.37	3.1	2.7
	2.55	3.15	2.8	Watch
	2.59	3.15	2.83
	2.57	3.12	2.81	Watch
	2.54	3.22	2.74
	2.55	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.5)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
36.8%

Draw
29.6%

St. Johnstone
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Livingston - St. Johnstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 12. Brandon J. (C) 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 26. Montano C. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 10. Kelly S. 9. Yengi T. 22. Shinnie A. 23. Muirhead R.	1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Balodis D. 5. Mitchell Z. 30. Douglas B. 37. Curtis S. 23. Sprangler S. (C) 7. Holt J. 21. Duke-McKenna S. 8. Svedberg J. 16. Sidibeh A. 27. Kirk M.
Substitutes
3. Clarke M. 19. Finlayson D. 11. Fraser R. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 6. McAlear R. 21. Nottingham M. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M.	11. Carey G. 10. Clark N. 29. Kimpioka B. 24. McPake J. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T. 44. Watt E. 14. Wright D.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Duke-McKenna S. 🟨,
33', McGowan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Wright D. ↑,
69', Svedberg J. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
71', Muirhead R. ↓, Finlayson D. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Carey G. ⚽, Wright D. (A),
75', Pittman S. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
85', Shinnie A. ↓, McAlear R. ↑,
85', Brandon J. ↓, Ubochioma M. ↑,
86', Montano C. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Livingston won 1.

Livingston is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches St. Johnstone is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Johnstone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Livingston won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Livingston won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
05.03.25	Livingston - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ayr United - Livingston	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWWT
- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
01.03.25	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	St. Johnstone - Ross County	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hearts	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
11.05.24	Livingston - St. Johnstone	2:1
02.03.24	St. Johnstone - Livingston	1:1
27.12.23	Livingston - St. Johnstone	0:0
30.09.23	St. Johnstone - Livingston	1:1
28.05.23	St. Johnstone - Livingston	2:0
15.04.23	Livingston - St. Johnstone	2:0
14.01.23	St. Johnstone - Livingston	2:4

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