Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Hamm Benfica		Etzella Ettelbruck

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.53
	4.1	4.1	1.61
	4.27	4.42	1.66
	4.5	4.1	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.2)	4.18 ↑ (3.5)	1.6 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamm Benfica
21%

Draw
21.9%

Etzella Ettelbruck
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.1%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

20.5%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamm Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hamm Benfica's form might have worsened.

Etzella Ettelbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Etzella Ettelbruck's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamm Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Hamm Benfica - Etzella Ettelbruck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone National Division (Relegation)).

Hamm Benfica has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Etzella is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Etzella is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hamm Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamm Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamm Benfica
Luxembourg National Division
12.09.21	Mondorf-les-Bains - Hamm Benfica	3:2 ✺
29.08.21	Hamm Benfica - Pétange	0:3 ✺
21.08.21	Racing Luxembourg - Hamm Benfica	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Hamm Benfica - Hostert	0:6 ✺
08.08.21	Jeunesse Esch - Hamm Benfica	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
12.09.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Rodange	3:0 ✺
28.08.21	Swift Hesperange - Etzella Ettelbruck	5:2 ✺
22.08.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	2:3 ✺
15.08.21	Fola Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:0 ✺
08.08.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Victoria Rosport	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
19.05.21	Hamm Benfica - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1

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