Match Info

UEFA Europa Cup Women - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: 3Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Hammarby		Ajax

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.45
	2.14	3.65	2.65
	2.59	4.30	2.16	Watch
	1.59	4	4.51
	2.2	3.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)	3.93 ↑ (3.75)	3.3 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hammarby
46.9%

Draw
24.2%

Ajax
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

23.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Hammarby - Ajax Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Hammarby will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hammarby will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Loeck M. (G) 17. Lennartsson S. 18. Carlsson A. (C) 2. Bragstad E. 41. Blakstad J. 6. Miyagawa A. 20. Hasund V. 7. Joramo E. 31. Holmberg S. 11. Wangerheim E. 9. Josendal A.	1. van Eijk R. (G) 24. De Klonia D. 6. van de Velde J. 5. van Asten R. 11. Van Egmond B. 10. Smits J. (C) 20. Colin I. 16. Noordman D. 2. Visscher A. 7. Derks R. 9. Tolhoek D.
Substitutes
5. Boye S. 29. Edrud M. (G) 30. Jurander F. (G) 8. Koivisto V. 23. Lundgren A. 27. Maiquez S. 40. Nylen S. 25. Peterson F. 43. Petz D. 15. Reidy S. 22. Sjodahl H. 10. Sprung B.	21. Buikema N. 4. den Turk D. 17. Dostmohamed I. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 3. Noordermeer D. 25. Touzani L. 22. van der Vliet D. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J. 18. van Oosten L.
Coaches
Sjogren M.	Bruil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Smits J. ⚽, Tolhoek D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Miyagawa A. ⚽, Lennartsson S. (A),
64', Colin I. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Holmberg S. ⚽, Josendal A. (A),
74', van Asten R. ↓, Noordermeer D. ↑,
74', Derks R. ↓, Touzani L. ↑,
75', Miyagawa A. ↓, Koivisto V. ↑,
75', Josendal A. ↓, Reidy S. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Hasund V. ⚽, Reidy S. (A),
86', Carlsson A. ↓, Boye S. ↑,
88', Visscher A. 🟨,
88', Tolhoek D. ↓, Dostmohamed I. ↑,
89', Holmberg S. ↓, Maiquez S. ↑,
89', Hasund V. ↓, Peterson F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

Hammarby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ajax is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hammarby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.

Hammarby could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hammarby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hammarby IF DFF
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
16.11.25	Hammarby - Brommapojkarna	6:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
12.11.25	Ajax - Hammarby	1:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
07.11.25	Alingsås - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Vittsjö - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW
- AFC Ajax Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
12.11.25	Ajax - Hammarby	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
08.11.25	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hera United - Ajax	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
16.10.25	Ajax - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
12.10.25	Ajax - Excelsior	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Cup Women
12.11.25	Ajax - Hammarby	1:3

Hammarby - Ajax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide