Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Hampton & Richmond Borough		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.95	1.72
	3.93	4.4	1.7	Watch
	4	3.8	1.7
	3.75	4.52	1.72
	3.8	4.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.21)	4.17 ↑ (4.13)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hampton & Richmond Borough
23.8%

Draw
22.1%

Dorking Wanderers
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

22.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.6%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hampton & Richmond Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Annesley L. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Casey P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hampton & Richmond won 1.

Hampton & Richmond has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dorking is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dorking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hampton & Richmond won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hampton & Richmond won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hampton & Richmond: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11:24	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
10.01.26	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:1 ✺
26.12.25	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidenhead United	1:3 ✺
02.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Totton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTLW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
03.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3
18.04.25	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	4:2
04.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
19.03.22	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2
15.01.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	1:2
02.01.21	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
26.12.20	Dorking Wanderers - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1

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