Match Info

National League South - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Worthing		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.95	3
	2.11	4.04	2.87	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.8
	2.11	3.62	2.86
	2.08	3.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.78)	3.8 ↓ (4.08)	2.89 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
44.1%

Draw
24.1%

Dorking Wanderers
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

22.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

21.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Worthing's form might have worsened.

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worthing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Worthing - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorking (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Jenks T. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Casey P. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
34', 2 - 2, Carter C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 2, Jenks T. ⚽,
90+10', Cook J. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dorking has had a series of home games.

Worthing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
26.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Worthing - Farnborough	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gloucester City - Worthing	4:3 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Worthing - Hornchurch	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
26.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.04.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
26.12.24	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.19	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	3:0
15.01.19	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	1:4
07.11.17	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:1
12.09.17	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	4:2

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