Match Info

National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Horsham

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.95
	1.69	4.13	4.22	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4
	1.72	4.06	4.16
	1.68	3.8	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	3.89 ↓ (3.95)	4.13 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
54%

Draw
23.7%

Horsham
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

23.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dorking Wanderers - Horsham Predictions

Users Predictions: Dorking Wanderers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dorking Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, Casey P. ⚽,
87', 2 - 0, Casey P. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dorking has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Horsham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Horsham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dorking is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
20.12.25	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
16.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Horsham FC
English National League South
20.12.25	Horsham - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham	0:2 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Chippenham Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Horsham - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.09.24	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	1:0
14.10.23	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	1:1
10.07.21	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:1
12.09.20	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	1:0

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