Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Naxxar Lions		Hamrun Spartans

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.15	1.38	Watch
	7.92	4.90	1.31	Watch
	7.39	4.1	1.39
	7	4.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↓ (7.9)	4.34 ↓ (4.75)	1.37 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
12.5%

Draw
21%

Hamrun Spartans
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

18.9%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono M. (G) 18. Bolanos E. 9. Firmino 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 13. Mariano 8. Pace Cocks N. (C) 19. Rosiel 11. Vitinho	1. Bonello H. (C) 20. Cadjenovic J. 47. El Fanis M. 91. Emerson 8. Garcia M. 77. Hadzi M. 10. Mbong J. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 9. Thioune S. 5. Xerri S.
Substitutes
28. Bonanno G. 29. Borg J. 44. Bugeja F. 7. Fenech M. 21. Fenech M. 17. Haber K. 22. Kontchou C. 25. Portelli O. 4. Theo Kruger 99. Vella A. (G) 24. Vinicius Baiano	7. Attard S. 94. Camenzuli R. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 24. Coric A. 25. Ederson 19. Koffi N. 6. Letherby D. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 55. Vella K.
Coaches
Vella G.	Modica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Thioune S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Bolanos E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Rosiel 🟨,
62', Garcia M. ↓, Coric A. ↑,
62', Hadzi M. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
62', Rosiel ↓, Haber K. ↑,
62', Pace Cocks N. ↓, Vinicius Baiano ↑,
69', Xerri S. ↓, Rafael Compri ↑,
69', El Fanis M. ↓, Polito V. ↑,
69', Vitinho ↓, Theo Kruger ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+7', Emerson 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 0.

Naxxar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hamrun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hamrun is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:25. (average 0.3:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:14. (average 0.3:4.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
05.10.25	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL
- Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Hamrun Spartans - Lausanne-Sport	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
05.10.25	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans	1:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
27.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
31.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:0
27.09.24	Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans	0:6
04.02.24	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:1
23.09.23	Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans	0:4
Maltese FA Trophy
10.02.22	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	1:0
Maltese Premier League
10.03.18	Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans	1:4
04.11.17	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	2:0

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