The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Floriana 9%
Draw 19.2%
Hamrun Spartans 71.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
33.1%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
31.6%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floriana's form might have worsened.
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamrun Spartans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Floriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-33.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamrun Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Floriana - Hamrun Spartans Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Floriana will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hamrun will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Picon P. (G) 4. Antonio Lara 94. Areias R. 22. Chico Teixeira 9. Dervisagic K. 25. Gamarra G. 14. Kurtalic A. 15. Mabea K. 88. Mbong P. 11. Scerri Z. 12. Vella D. (C)
1. Bonello H. (C) 27. Bjelicic O. 94. Camenzuli R. 30. Eleke B. 47. El Fanis M. 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 5. Xerri S.
Substitutes
3. Beerman M. 8. Grech J. 19. Jah M. 37. Micallef A. (G) 24. M'Mombwa C. 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 27. Vella Newell Z. 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
7. Attard S. 14. Borg E. 92. Brincau K. 16. Camilleri S. 32. Carboni M. 24. Ceter D. 25. Ederson 91. Emerson 23. Hili K. 49. Jonny 17. Serber K.
Coaches
Portela D.
Modica G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Eleke B. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Scerri Z. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Eleke B. 🟨,
34', Polito V. 🟨,
44', Areias R. 🟨,
45+1', Areias R. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mbong P. ↓, Beerman M. ↑,
52', El Fanis M. ↓, Jonny ↑,
52', Camenzuli R. ↓, Ederson ↑,
62', Gamarra G. ↓, Jah M. ↑,
62', Vella D. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
63', Eleke B. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
69', Kurtalic A. ↓, Vella Newell Z. ↑,
71', Beerman M. 🟨,
77', Mabea K. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Mbong J. ⚽,
80', Rodgers G. 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Mbong J. ⚽,
87', Guillaumier M. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Carboni M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 0.
Floriana is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Hamrun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Floriana has had a series of away games.
Hamrun will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 0 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.3:1.5).