The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamrun Spartans 54.1%
Draw 26.1%
Valletta 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
29.8%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
30%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valletta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamrun Spartans that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valletta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hamrun Spartans - Valletta Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Hamrun (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 27. Bjelicic O. 20. Cadjenovic J. 94. Camenzuli R. 91. Emerson 8. Garcia M. 77. Hadzi M. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 14. Smajlagic S. 9. Thioune S.
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 28. Brewer S. 94. Jefferson 98. Mendoza J. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 50. Yuri
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 47. El Fanis M. 19. Koffi N. 6. Letherby D. 10. Mbong J. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 55. Vella K. 5. Xerri S.
1. Aquilina T. (G) 17. Barbara Z. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 19. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 80. Gomes E. 33. Mbende E. 24. Muscat R. 20. Yankam Y. 8. Zammit A.
Coaches
Modica G.
Micallef T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Yuri 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hadzi M. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
46', Cadjenovic J. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
46', Thioune S. ↓, Mbong J. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Bjelicic O. ⚽,
60', Azzopardi J. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
60', Mendoza J. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
64', El Fanis M. 🟨,
69', Smajlagic S. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
71', Micallef N. ↓, Gomes E. ↑,
82', Thaylor ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
82', Jefferson ↓, Ciolacu A. ↑,
88', Paiber B. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 3.
Hamrun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Valletta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Hamrun has had a series of away games.
Hamrun could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
Malta
Watch
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Bonello H. (C) 
Bjelicic O. 
Cadjenovic J. 
Emerson 
Hadzi M. 
Polito V. 
Smajlagic S. 
Brewer S. 
Mendoza J. 
Thaylor 
El Fanis M. 
Koffi N. 
Simkus D. 
Ciolacu A. 
Gomes E. 
Mbende E. 
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