Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 15
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 18
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus


	Hamrun Spartans		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	8	4.33	1.4
	7.9	4.45	1.39
	7.8	4.51	1.41
	8.12	5.01	1.41	Watch
	8	4.33	1.4
	7.75	4.4	1.44
	7.5	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.87 ↓ (8.4)	4.48 ↓ (5.45)	1.41 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
12%

Draw
21.1%

Shakhtar Donetsk
66.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11%

17%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.5%	90.5%

Hamrun Spartans - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Shakhtar (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 2. Rafael Compri 91. Emerson 27. Bjelicic O. 94. Camenzuli R. 10. Mbong J. 24. Coric A. 19. Koffi N. 8. Garcia M. 20. Cadjenovic J. 14. Smajlagic S.	23. Fesyun K. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 18. Ghram A. 5. Bondar V. (C) 16. Azarovi I. 29. Nazaryna Y. 10. Pedrinho 21. Bondarenko A. 14. Isaque Silva 37. Lucas Ferreira 49. Luca Meirelles
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 47. El Fanis M. 77. Hadzi M. 99. Meijer S. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 9. Thioune S. 55. Vella K. 5. Xerri S.	3. Arroyo D. 34. Bahlai R. (G) 7. Eguinaldo 74. Faryna M. 19. Kaua Elias 8. Kryskiv D. 11. Newerton 27. Ocheretko O. 9. Shved M. 17. Tobias V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Modica G.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
46', Bondarenko A. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
50', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
52', Mbong J. 🟨,
58', Garcia M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Azarovi I. (A),
64', 0 - 2, Isaque Silva ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
65', Smajlagic S. ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
65', Koffi N. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
65', Mbong J. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
67', Pedrinho ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
74', Cadjenovic J. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
74', Coric A. ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
81', Luca Meirelles ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
89', Azarovi I. ↓, Faryna M. ↑,
90', Eguinaldo 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Hamrun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhtar is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hamrun: Polito V. (Red Card)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Traore L. (Muscle Injury) Udod D. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps	3:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
22.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Samsunspor - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.11.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:6 ✺
09.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Poltava	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWW

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