What is the expert prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

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Hamrun Spartans vs Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, December 11, 2025)

Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 18
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Hamrun Spartans		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	8	4.33	1.4
	7.9	4.45	1.39
	7.8	4.51	1.41
	8.12	5.01	1.41	Watch
	8	4.33	1.4
	7.75	4.4	1.44
	7.5	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.87 ↓ (8.4)	4.48 ↓ (5.45)	1.41 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
12%

Draw
21.1%

Shakhtar Donetsk
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

17%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.5%	90.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 18 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 76.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Shakhtar (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 2. Rafael Compri 91. Emerson 27. Bjelicic O. 94. Camenzuli R. 10. Mbong J. 24. Coric A. 19. Koffi N. 8. Garcia M. 20. Cadjenovic J. 14. Smajlagic S.	23. Fesyun K. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 18. Ghram A. 5. Bondar V. (C) 16. Azarovi I. 29. Nazaryna Y. 10. Pedrinho 21. Bondarenko A. 14. Isaque Silva 37. Lucas Ferreira 49. Luca Meirelles
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 47. El Fanis M. 77. Hadzi M. 99. Meijer S. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 9. Thioune S. 55. Vella K. 5. Xerri S.	3. Arroyo D. 34. Bahlai R. (G) 7. Eguinaldo 74. Faryna M. 19. Kaua Elias 8. Kryskiv D. 11. Newerton 27. Ocheretko O. 9. Shved M. 17. Tobias V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Modica G.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
46', Bondarenko A. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
50', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
52', Mbong J. 🟨,
58', Garcia M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Azarovi I. (A),
64', 0 - 2, Isaque Silva ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
65', Smajlagic S. ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
65', Koffi N. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
65', Mbong J. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
67', Pedrinho ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
74', Cadjenovic J. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
74', Coric A. ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
81', Luca Meirelles ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
89', Azarovi I. ↓, Faryna M. ↑,
90', Eguinaldo 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Hamrun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhtar is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hamrun: Polito V. (Red Card)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Alisson (Foot Injury) Traore L. (Muscle Injury) Udod D. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps	3:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
22.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Samsunspor - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.11.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:6 ✺
09.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Poltava	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWWW

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