Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Hamrun Spartans		Birkirkara

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.05	6.9	Watch
	1.42	4.16	7.26
	1.4	4.27	7.26	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.47	4.04	6.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	4.06 ↑ (3.78)	6.98 ↑ (6.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
64.5%

Draw
22.5%

Birkirkara
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

24.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 7. Attard S. 27. Bjelicic O. 31. Bulevardi D. 94. Camenzuli R. 47. El Fanis M. 6. Guillaumier M. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 5. Xerri S.	1. Martinez M. (G) 33. Acheampong G. 27. Coppola A. (C) 77. Garzia A. 2. Lopez F. 11. Macula 59. Makoma D. 25. Micallef N. 3. Morello M. 9. Reid K. 41. Roni Santos
Substitutes
14. Borg E. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 32. Carboni M. 4. Cassar J. 98. Celio (G) 25. Ederson 23. Hili K. 93. Inzoudine Y. 17. Serber K.	22. Busuttil J. 16. Cortis S. 30. Cross N. 21. Delicata L. 10. Dimech S. 17. Fenech K. 24. Lacunza L. 23. Magri S. 19. Sammut K. 6. Viveros S. 50. Vrcic J.
Coaches
Modica G.	Zammit P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Guillaumier M. ⚽,
36', Rafael Compri 🟨,
36', Macula 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Camenzuli R. ↓, Inzoudine Y. ↑,
65', Attard S. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
65', Bulevardi D. ↓, Ederson ↑,
67', Dimech S. ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
76', Coppola A. 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Mbong J. (Penalty Awarded),
79', El Fanis M. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
80', Garzia A. ↓, Cross N. ↑,
80', Acheampong G. ↓, Vrcic J. ↑,
80', Macula ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
86', Morello M. ↓, Lacunza L. ↑,
89', Mbong J. ↓, Camilleri S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Birkirkara has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hamrun is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	5	10
5	Hamrun	6	3	1	2	9:6	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	3:1 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWWT
- Birkirkara FC
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Birkirkara - Pietà Hotspurs	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
21.02.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
21.12.25	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	6:1
01.11.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:2
10.05.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
05.04.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
01.02.25	Hamrun Spartans - Birkirkara	0:0
23.11.24	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:2
19.10.24	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	3:2

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