Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena (Hannover) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	22:30	Fast Sports
Australia	05:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	15:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	21:30	Nova Sport
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:30	Disney+
Colombia	13:30	Disney+
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Viaplay
Germany	20:30	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 4
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
Norway	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	13:30	Disney+
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi Arabia	21:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV3
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+
International	18:30	OneFootball TV


	Hannover		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.60	2.75
	2.32	3.45	2.65	Watch
	2.49	3.63	2.88
	2.34	3.65	2.84	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.85
	2.23	3.61	3.05	Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.04)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
40.1%

Draw
26.4%

St. Pauli
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

23.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hannover's form might have worsened.

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hannover, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Hannover - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 2 - 50%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Weinkauf L. (G) 5. Ghita V. 3. Tomiak B. 4. Hugonet J. 33. Neubauer M. 14. Chakroun H. 8. Taibi W. 23. Thordarson S. T. (C) 29. Oudenne K. 9. Kallman B. 10. Hartel M.	1. Voll B. (G) 4. Nemeth D. (C) 8. Smith E. 21. Ritzka L. 11. Pyrka A. 20. Rasmussen M. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 7. Niang Y. 24. Metcalfe C. 9. Ceesay A.
Substitutes
17. Allgeier B. 28. Etcibasi T. 1. Loretz P. (G) 27. Matsuda H. 20. Okon I. 11. Pichler B. 38. Reinhold J. 13. Roggow F. 44. Sahiti E.	14. Ahlstrand E. 15. Ando T. 25. Dzwigala A. 18. Hara T. 10. Hrgota B. 26. Jones R.J. 19. Kaars M. 22. Klein S. 33. Mitov D. (G)
Coaches
Wagner S.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Chakroun H. 🟨,
17', Thordarson S. T. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Ceesay A. ⚽, Oppie L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Chakroun H. ⚽,
62', Rasmussen M. ↓, Klein S. ↑,
62', Niang Y. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
68', Oudenne K. ↓, Pichler B. ↑,
75', Chakroun H. ↓, Matsuda H. ↑,
78', Hartel M. ↓, Allgeier B. ↑,
85', Ceesay A. ↓, Jones R.J. ↑,
85', Metcalfe C. ↓, Hrgota B. ↑,
90+2', Fujita J. 🟨,
90+4', Jones R.J. ↓, Hara T. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 1.

Hannover has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

St. Pauli shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hannover is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Hannover: Bundu M. (Hamstring Injury) Gindorf L. (Inactive) Steinmann K. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for St. Pauli: Jansson R. (Inactive) Mathisen M. (Inactive) Pereira Lage M. (Knee Injury) Thordarson G. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Hannover has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:20 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hannover against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:15 goals (averaging 1.9:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Pauli	9	2	6	1	11:9	2	12
16	Hannover	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

St. Pauli: 3.69% Hannover: 1.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Magdeburg - Hannover	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Hannover - Verl	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Hannover - Bochum	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Nürnberg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLT
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
11.10.26	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.10.24	Hannover - St. Pauli	3:2
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.24	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:2
10.11.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:0
Club Friendly
24.03.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
05.02.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0
23.07.22	Hannover - St. Pauli	2:2
20.02.22	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:3

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