Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday


	Hannover		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.55
	2.31	3.6	2.73
	2.38	3.52	2.77	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.5
	2.39	3.7	2.73	Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)	3.55 ↓ (3.76)	2.64 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hannover
39%

Draw
26%

St. Pauli
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.9%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Hannover - St. Pauli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Weinkauf L. (G) 20. Dehm J. 37. Ezeh B. 25. Gindorf L. 2. Knight J. 6. Kunze F. 11. Lee H. 16. Nielsen H. (C) 10. Rochelt J. 32. Voglsammer A. 44. Wallner L.	. Seibt R. (G) . Afolayan O. . Banks S. . Eggestein J. . Guilavogui M. . Nemeth D. . Ritzka L. . Saliakas M. . Schmitz M. . Wagner R. . Wahl H. (C)
Substitutes
. Chakroun H. 38. Momuluh T. 29. Oudenne K. . Uhlmann E. 17. Wdowik B. . Wechsel L. (G)	. Ahlstrand E. . Albers A. . Herrmann M. . Jendrzej K. (G) . Maboa Dibamba F. . Maurides . Politz T. . Staugaard E. . Turtschan J. . Yanda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Banks S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Voglsammer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Eggestein J. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
46', Wallner L. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
46', Rochelt J. ↓, Momuluh T. ↑,
46', Lee H. ↓, Oudenne K. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Voglsammer A. ⚽,
51', 2 - 2, Banks S. ⚽,
54', Albers A. 🟨,
55', 3 - 2, Momuluh T. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
61', Guilavogui M. ↓, Maurides ↑,
61', Banks S. ↓, Politz T. ↑,
68', Kunze F. ↓, Chakroun H. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hannover won 0.

Recent matches Hannover is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pauli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hannover won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:18 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hannover won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
06.10.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hannover	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Hannover - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Paderborn - Hannover	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Hannover - Kaiserslautern	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Wolfsburg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
05.10.24	St. Pauli - Mainz	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Freiburg - St. Pauli	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	St. Pauli - RB Leipzig	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Augsburg - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Union Berlin - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.24	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:2
10.11.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:0
Club Friendly
24.03.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
05.02.23	St. Pauli - Hannover	2:0
23.07.22	Hannover - St. Pauli	2:2
20.02.22	St. Pauli - Hannover	0:3
11.09.21	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:0

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