Match Info

3. Liga - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, NDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de, WDR Fernsehen
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Hansa Rostock		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.2	Watch
	1.87	3.7	3.75
	2.05	3.55	3.2	Watch
	2.07	3.67	3.48
	2.07	3.73	3.15	Watch
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.02	3.59	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.88)	3.56 ↓ (3.87)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
46.3%

Draw
26%

Rot-Weiß Essen
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Hansa Rostock - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 7. Neidhart N. 15. Gurleyen A. 17. Carstens F. 33. Bergh V. 13. Kunze L. 5. Schuster M. (C) 6. Dirkner J. 14. Lebeau A. 9. Voglsammer A. 35. Krauss M.	35. Wienand F. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 8. Gjasula K. 37. Hofmann J. 16. Reisig R. 26. Musel T. 14. Brumme L. 10. Obuz M. 20. Janssen M. 11. Abiama D.
Substitutes
42. Dietze B. 4. Fatkic K. 30. Hagemoser M. (G) 8. Harenbrock C. 11. Holten E. 21. Hummel D. 27. Kinsombi C. 19. Mejdr J. 16. Wallner L.	19. Bouebari F. 25. Bruning M. (G) 9. Cuber Potocnik J. 15. Huning B. 2. Kostka M. 33. Kraulich T. 24. Mizuta K. 7. Safi R. 22. Schmidt D.
Coaches
Brinkmann D.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Lebeau A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Schultz M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 2 - 0, Voglsammer A. ⚽, Krauss M. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Abiama D. ⚽,
71', Abiama D. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
71', Gjasula K. ↓, Kostka M. ↑,
71', Hofmann J. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
73', Lebeau A. ↓, Harenbrock C. ↑,
73', Neidhart N. ↓, Mejdr J. ↑,
75', Schultz M. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Rios Alonso J. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Krauss M. ↓, Kinsombi C. ↑,
82', Voglsammer A. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Holten E. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Schultz M. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
87', Obuz M. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
90', Dirkner J. ↓, Wallner L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hansa Rostock will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hansa Rostock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

RW Essen: 19% Hansa Rostock: 18.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15
4	Hansa Rostock	8	4	3	1	17:15	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 3 Bundesliga
22.02.26	1860 München - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hoffenheim II - Hansa Rostock	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hansa Rostock - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Waldhof Mannheim - Hansa Rostock	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLW
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Jahn Regensburg	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	3:0
06.04.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	2:1
26.10.24	Hansa Rostock - Rot-Weiß Essen	4:0

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