Match Info

3. Liga - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, NDR Fernsehen, SR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Hansa Rostock		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.05
	1.72	4.22	4.43
	1.72	4.12	4.08	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4
	1.67	3.78	4.26	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)	3.91 ↓ (4.03)	4.15 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
54.1%

Draw
23.6%

Saarbrücken
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hansa Rostock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hansa Rostock (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 19. Mejdr J. 17. Carstens F. 15. Gurleyen A. 33. Bergh V. 5. Schuster M. 6. Dirkner J. 4. Fatkic K. 14. Lebeau A. 9. Voglsammer A. 20. Naderi R.	13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 32. Bormuth R. 18. Wilhelm L. 28. Bretschneider N. 8. Zeitz M. 5. Krahn E. 23. Civeja T. 20. Pick F. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K.
Substitutes
30. Hagemoser M. (G) 11. Holten E. 21. Hummel D. 27. Kinsombi C. 35. Krauss M. 7. Neidhart N. 23. Pfanne F. 22. Reichardt L. 16. Wallner L.	27. Bichsel J. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 2. Fahrner P. 26. Groune A. 31. Neudecker R. 1. Paterok T. (G) 39. Schmidt P. 4. Sonnenberg S. 24. Wollschlager L.
Coaches
Brinkmann D.	Luginger J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Dirkner J. ⚽,
12', Bergh V. 🟨,
13', Rabihic K. (Penalty Awarded),
13', 1 - 1, Rizzuto C. ⚽,
45+4', Zeitz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Naderi R. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
62', Lebeau A. ↓, Kinsombi C. ↑,
65', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
66', Rabihic K. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
73', Voglsammer A. ↓, Hummel D. ↑,
73', Dirkner J. ↓, Krauss M. ↑,
80', Rizzuto C. ↓, Fahrner P. ↑,
80', Civeja T. ↓, Neudecker R. ↑,
83', Schmidt P. 🟨,
86', Zeitz M. ↓, Sonnenberg S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 1.

Hansa Rostock is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Saarbrücken's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hansa Rostock is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hansa Rostock will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Hansa Rostock - Alemannia Aachen	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Jahn Regensburg - Hansa Rostock	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Hansa Rostock - Schweinfurt	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ulm 1846 - Hansa Rostock	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Saarbrücken - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.03.25	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	0:0
22.10.24	Saarbrücken - Hansa Rostock	2:0
27.01.21	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	4:2
26.09.20	Saarbrücken - Hansa Rostock	2:0
25.03.14	Saarbrücken - Hansa Rostock	2:0
04.10.13	Hansa Rostock - Saarbrücken	0:0
27.04.13	Saarbrücken - Hansa Rostock	1:1

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