Match Info

3. Liga - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Carl-Benz Stadion (Mannheim)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Waldhof Mannheim		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.05
	2.19	3.66	3.21
	2.11	3.67	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.16	3.47	3.15	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.49 ↓ (3.61)	3.11 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waldhof Mannheim
43.7%

Draw
26.5%

Saarbrücken
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waldhof Mannheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Waldhof will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waldhof: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Waldhof (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nijhuis T. (G) 24. Klunter L. (C) 6. Hoffmann N. 4. Sechelmann T. 17. Abifade S. 14. Iwe E. 28. Michel D. 21. Rieckmann J. 27. Diakhaby A. 32. Okpala K. 13. Boyd T.	13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 18. Wilhelm L. 32. Bormuth R. (C) 28. Bretschneider N. 8. Zeitz M. 15. Kamara A. 23. Civeja T. 20. Pick F. 39. Schmidt P. 10. Rabihic K.
Substitutes
20. Asallari K. 15. Karbstein M. 9. Lohkemper F. 38. Masca 16. Niemann J. (G) 7. Shipnoski N. 22. Sietan J. 2. Voelcke S. 18. Yigit S.	30. Baumann D. 27. Bichsel J. 9. Brunker K. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 2. Fahrner P. 26. Groune A. 5. Krahn E. 31. Neudecker R. 1. Paterok T. (G)
Coaches
Holtz L.	Luginger J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Okpala K. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 1 - 1, Kamara A. ⚽, Civeja T. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Boyd T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rieckmann J. ↓, Sietan J. ↑,
57', Boyd T. 🟨,
62', Kamara A. 🟨,
64', Schmidt P. ↓, Brunker K. ↑,
64', Rabihic K. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
68', Zeitz M. 🟨,
72', Michel D. ↓, Lohkemper F. ↑,
74', Kamara A. ↓, Baumann D. ↑,
77', Iwe E. ↓, Masca ↑,
77', Boyd T. ↓, Shipnoski N. ↑,
84', Zeitz M. ↓, Krahn E. ↑,
84', Civeja T. ↓, Groune A. ↑,
86', Diakhaby A. ↓, Karbstein M. ↑,
87', Wilhelm L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 0.

In recent matches, Waldhof has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Saarbrücken is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Waldhof may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Waldhof will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waldhof won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Waldhof won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Waldhof Mannheim - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Schweinfurt - Waldhof Mannheim	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hoffenheim II - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Waldhof Mannheim - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Saarbrücken - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Alemannia Aachen - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.25	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1
31.08.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	0:1
18.02.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	0:2
23.09.23	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1
02.04.23	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1
08.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	1:0
09.04.22	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	0:0

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