Match Info

3. Liga - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Lutz D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Saarbrücken		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.25	6	Watch
	1.38	4.95	6.5
	1.37	5.48	7.05
	1.45	4.82	5.58	Watch
	1.34	4.8	6.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	5.06 ↑ (4.82)	6.4 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
67.1%

Draw
18.4%

TSV Havelse
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

15.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saarbrücken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Saarbrücken - TSV Havelse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Havelse will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saarbrücken: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (G) 18. Wilhelm L. 4. Sonnenberg S. (C) 27. Bichsel J. 2. Fahrner P. 31. Neudecker R. 5. Krahn E. 7. Rizzuto C. 20. Pick F. 9. Brunker K. 30. Baumann D.	1. Opitz T. (G) 5. Minz D. 6. Belkahia S. 4. Kolgeci B. 39. Riedel F. 8. Berger J. 31. Oltrogge J. (C) 22. Sommer L. 33. Rexhepi A. 23. Muller R. 17. Posselt J. X.
Substitutes
32. Bormuth R. 23. Civeja T. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 1. Paterok T. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 39. Schmidt P. 33. Schumacher T. 24. Wollschlager L. 8. Zeitz M.	7. Aytun E. 21. Behrens I. 19. Boujellab N. 40. Busse J. (G) 14. Ilic M. 11. Jaeschke Y. 9. Paldino L. 28. Rufidis J. 3. Schleef M.
Coaches
Schwartz A.	Ferchichi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Baumann D. ⚽, Fahrner P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Neudecker R. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
46', Pick F. ↓, Rabihic K. ↑,
62', Riedel F. ↓, Ilic M. ↑,
63', Rexhepi A. ↓, Boujellab N. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Sommer L. ⚽, Ilic M. (A),
75', Posselt J. X. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
76', Fahrner P. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
77', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
84', Minz D. ↓, Schleef M. ↑,
88', Sommer L. 🟨,
90+1', Oltrogge J. 🟨,
90+3', Krahn E. 🟨,
90+5', Sonnenberg S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Saarbrücken is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Havelse has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Saarbrücken is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Saarbrücken won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Alemannia Aachen - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Saarbrücken - Verl	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	Jahn Regensburg - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Saarbrücken - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLTT
- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
01.11.25	TSV Havelse - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Energie Cottbus - TSV Havelse	4:3 ✺
19.10.25	TSV Havelse - Jahn Regensburg	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Viktoria Köln - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
30.09.25	TSV Havelse - Waldhof Mannheim	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.12.21	Saarbrücken - TSV Havelse	2:2
24.07.21	TSV Havelse - Saarbrücken	0:1

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