Match Info

3. Liga - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ludwigspark Stadion (Saarbrücken)

Referee: Kabalakli C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Saarbrücken		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.22	3.65	2.78
	2.22	3.96	2.92
	2.17	3.91	2.83	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.25	3.5	2.71	Watch
	2.14	3.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.56)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	2.82 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saarbrücken
42.3%

Draw
25%

Hoffenheim II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

24.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saarbrücken's performance.

Hoffenheim II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hoffenheim II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saarbrücken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Saarbrücken will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hoffenheim II will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Saarbrücken (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Menzel P. (G) 7. Rizzuto C. 32. Bormuth R. (C) 27. Bichsel J. 28. Bretschneider N. 5. Krahn E. 8. Zeitz M. 20. Pick F. 23. Civeja T. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K.	1. Petersson L. (G) 16. Hor Y. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Lassig V. 39. Bahr F. 17. Reisig R. 10. Duric L. 7. Amaimouni A. 11. Hennrich P. 38. Zeitler D. 13. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
30. Baumann D. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 2. Fahrner P. 26. Groune A. 31. Neudecker R. 21. Nickisch J. (G) 39. Schmidt P. 4. Sonnenberg S. 24. Wollschlager L.	8. Dagdeviren D. 40. Donkor D. 24. Erlein L. 23. Honajzer A. 9. Kalambayi Mukuta S. 45. Labes B. O. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 18. Onos M. 4. Strobl L.
Coaches
Luginger J.	Kleineheismann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Pick F. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Lassig V. ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Duric L. (A),
23', 2 - 2, Pick F. ⚽, Rizzuto C. (A),
31', Pick F. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Brunker K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Labes B. O. ↑,
61', Zeitler D. ↓, Dagdeviren D. ↑,
68', Duric L. 🟨,
68', Rabihic K. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
68', Brunker K. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
84', Civeja T. ↓, Groune A. ↑,
84', Hennrich P. ↓, Honajzer A. ↑,
87', Honajzer A. 🟨,
90', Bahr F. ↓, Erlein L. ↑,
90', Amaimouni A. ↓, Donkor D. ↑,
90+1', Schmidt P. 🟨,
90+4', Luhrs Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 2.

Saarbrücken is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hoffenheim II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Saarbrücken won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Saarbrücken won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
07.12.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Saarbrücken - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Alemannia Aachen - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
06.12.25	Hoffenheim II - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Ingolstadt - Hoffenheim II	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Hoffenheim II - Duisburg	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Schweinfurt - Hoffenheim II	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hoffenheim II - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.09.19	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	0:0
Club Friendly
03.07.19	Hoffenheim II - Saarbrücken	2:2
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.05.19	Hoffenheim II - Saarbrücken	0:3
01.11.18	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	5:0
05.05.18	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	1:1
04.11.17	Hoffenheim II - Saarbrücken	1:1
25.02.17	Saarbrücken - Hoffenheim II	0:2

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