Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Germany	Magenta Sport, NDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Hansa Rostock		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.85	6.9
	1.38	5.09	7.41
	4.43	1.58	4.62	Watch
	1.37	4.85	6.84	Watch
	1.38	4.85	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.36)	4.26 ↓ (4.7)	6.68 ↓ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
57.9%

Draw
25.7%

TSV Havelse
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.5%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

14.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hansa Rostock's form might have worsened.

TSV Havelse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hansa Rostock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Hansa Rostock - TSV Havelse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Havelse will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 23. Pfanne F. (C) 15. Gurleyen A. 17. Carstens F. 4. Fatkic K. 42. Dietze B. 5. Schuster M. 33. Bergh V. 8. Harenbrock C. 35. Krauss M. 11. Holten E.	1. Opitz T. (G) 6. Belkahia S. 24. Plume N. 4. Kolgeci B. 39. Riedel F. 8. Berger J. 7. Aytun E. 19. Boujellab N. 10. Duker J. (C) 17. Posselt J. X. 14. Ilic M.
Substitutes
36. Bock F. 6. Dirkner J. 30. Hagemoser M. (G) 44. Krohn T. 19. Mejdr J. 20. Naderi R. 7. Neidhart N. 22. Reichardt L. 10. Stock P.	40. Busse J. (G) 30. Friedrich T. 11. Jaeschke Y. 23. Muller R. 9. Paldino L. 33. Rexhepi A. 28. Rufidis J. 3. Schleef M. 22. Sommer L.
Coaches
Brinkmann D.	Ferchichi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Aytun E. ⚽, Posselt J. X. (A),
9', Gurleyen A. 🟥,
14', Duker J. 🟨,
23', Boujellab N. 🟨,
45', Berger J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Holten E. ↓, Naderi R. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Fatkic K. ⚽, Harenbrock C. (A),
54', Pfanne F. 🟨,
55', Dietze B. 🟨,
57', Dietze B. ↓, Dirkner J. ↑,
57', Duker J. ↓, Rufidis J. ↑,
57', Kolgeci B. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
69', Posselt J. X. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
69', Belkahia S. ↓, Schleef M. ↑,
75', Paldino L. 🟨,
78', Krauss M. ↓, Krohn T. ↑,
78', Harenbrock C. ↓, Stock P. ↑,
78', Schleef M. ↓, Rexhepi A. ↑,
79', Ilic M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
90+1', Krohn T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Hansa Rostock has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Havelse has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hansa Rostock is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
17.09.25	Hansa Rostock - 1860 München	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Ingolstadt - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTLT
- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.25	TSV Havelse - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt	2:6 ✺
14.09.25	1860 München - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	TSV Havelse - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL

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