Match Info

3. Liga - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Eilenriedestadion (Hannover)

Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Usa	ESPN 3
World	Onefootball


	TSV Havelse		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.65	Watch
	4.35	4.05	1.65
	4.52	4.33	1.67
	5.73	3.12	1.72	Watch
	4.63	4.06	1.65	Watch
	3	3.8	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.7)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Havelse
21.3%

Draw
24.3%

Duisburg
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

23.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

TSV Havelse - Duisburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Duisburg (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Duisburg (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Duisburg will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Opitz T. (G) 3. Schleef M. 6. Belkahia S. 7. Aytun E. 39. Riedel F. 8. Berger J. 22. Sommer L. 19. Boujellab N. 10. Duker J. (C) 23. Muller R. 14. Ilic M.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 18. Meuer S. 6. Bulic R. 17. Gockan M. 10. Viet C. 23. Symalla J. 9. Heike T.
Substitutes
21. Behrens I. 40. Busse J. (G) 30. Friedrich T. 11. Jaeschke Y. 37. Ozdemir H. 9. Paldino L. 17. Posselt J. X. 33. Rexhepi A. 28. Rufidis J.	11. Dittgen M. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 38. Sadlek G. E. 40. Schlicke B. 22. Topken T. 30. Visser A.
Coaches
Ferchichi S.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gockan M. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
46', Heike T. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
60', Belkahia S. ↓, Rufidis J. ↑,
62', Meuer S. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
73', Muller R. ↓, Posselt J. X. ↑,
76', Viet C. ↓, Dittgen M. ↑,
88', Topken T. 🟨,
89', Ilic M. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Noss C. ⚽, Bitter J. (A),
90+3', Symalla J. ↓, Schlicke B. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Posselt J. X. ⚽, Riedel F. (A),
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Havelse has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Duisburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Havelse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Duisburg is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Havelse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Havelse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
17.09.25	TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt	2:6 ✺
14.09.25	1860 München - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	TSV Havelse - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Erzgebirge Aue - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLT
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
16.09.25	Schweinfurt - Duisburg	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Bochum - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
30.08.25	Verl - Duisburg	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
14.01.22	TSV Havelse - Duisburg	0:1
08.08.21	Duisburg - TSV Havelse	3:0
Club Friendly
17.01.13	TSV Havelse - Duisburg	1:2

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