Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 20

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Greifswald		Rot-Weiß Erfurt

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.4	2.25
	2.91	3.5	2.31
	2.81	3.51	2.24
	2.86	3.3	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.7)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greifswald
32.3%

Draw
26.9%

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greifswald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Greifswald - Rot Weiß Erfurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Benyamina S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Kaizer E. 🟥,
58', 1 - 1, Hajrulla R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 1 - 2, Hajrulla R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 0.

Rot-Weiß Erfurt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Greifswald won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Greifswald won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erfurt	11	8	3	0	36:11	25	27
8	Greifswald	11	5	4	2	23:16	7	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.02.26	Hallescher - Greifswald	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Chemie Leipzig - Greifswald	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Greifswald - Chemnitzer	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Greifswald - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTTL
- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.02.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Preussen	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Magdeburg II - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Hallescher - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Luckenwalde - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Greifswald	3:2
12.04.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Greifswald	2:0
20.10.24	Greifswald - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2
28.03.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Greifswald	1:1
07.10.23	Greifswald - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1
16.04.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Greifswald	4:0
29.10.22	Greifswald - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:2

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