Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Viktoria 1889 Berlin		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.9
	4.05	3.95	1.7
	3.21	3.88	1.93	Watch
	3.96	3.82	1.71
	3.5	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.9)	3.83 ↓ (3.92)	1.83 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria 1889 Berlin
25.3%

Draw
24.1%

Greifswald
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

23.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

23.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria 1889 Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viktoria 1889 Berlin's form might have worsened.

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greifswald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria 1889 Berlin than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Viktoria 1889 Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greifswald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Greifswald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ndualu R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 1, Skakun O. (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Viktoria 1889 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Greifswald is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Viktoria 1889 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoria 1889 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 1.2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoria 1889 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria 1889 Berlin
German Regionalliga Nordost
02.05.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	5:1 ✺
26.04.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Chemie Leipzig - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Meuselwitz	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL
- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
04.05.25	Greifswald - Eilenburg	4:2 ✺
25.04.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Greifswald	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Greifswald - Altglienicke	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Greifswald	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Greifswald - Plauen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
28.01.25	Greifswald - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	4:1
17.03.24	Greifswald - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	4:1
30.09.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Greifswald	2:2
04.03.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Greifswald	2:1
18.09.22	Greifswald - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	5:0

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