Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Hanthawaddy United		Mahar United

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.89	3.82
	1.82	4.02	3.38	Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.66	3.9	4.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)	3.83 ↑ (3.66)	3.78 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanthawaddy United
52.4%

Draw
23.7%

Mahar United
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanthawaddy United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hanthawaddy United's performance.

Mahar United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mahar United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanthawaddy United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mahar United than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Hanthawaddy United - Mahar United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hanthawaddy United won 3.

Hanthawaddy United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mahar United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hanthawaddy United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hanthawaddy United won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:11. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hanthawaddy United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Mahar United	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
9	Hantharwady Utd	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanthawaddy United
Myanmar National League
09.02.26	Yarmanya United - Hanthawaddy United	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Dagon Port - Hanthawaddy United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Hanthawaddy United - Ayeyawady United	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Dagon - Hanthawaddy United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTWLL
- Mahar United
Myanmar National League
10.02.26	Rakhine United - Mahar United	2:2 ✺
05.02.26	Mahar United - Thitsar Arman	3:3 ✺
28.01.26	Yarmanya United - Mahar United	2:4 ✺
23.01.26	Mahar United - ISPE	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Dagon Port - Mahar United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
31.12.25	Mahar United - Hanthawaddy United	2:2
19.10.24	Hanthawaddy United - Mahar United	3:2
07.09.24	Mahar United - Hanthawaddy United	2:3
01.11.23	Hanthawaddy United - Mahar United	3:0
01.06.23	Mahar United - Hanthawaddy United	3:2
19.09.22	Mahar United - Hanthawaddy United	0:3
02.07.22	Hanthawaddy United - Mahar United	0:1

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