Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 42

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Hanwell Town		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.2
	1.87	4.15	3.38
	1.77	3.84	3.84
	1.63	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.93)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	3.94 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
53.4%

Draw
23.3%

Hartley Wintney
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

23.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hanwell Town's performance.

Hartley Wintney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hanwell Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartley Wintney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hanwell Town - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Hanwell Town is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartley Wintney is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hanwell Town is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hanwell Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
15.04.23	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
13.04.23	Hanwell Town - Hendon	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Merthyr Town - Hanwell Town	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTLL
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
15.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Gosport Borough - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
04.04.23	Hartley Wintney - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Hendon - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.11.22	Hartley Wintney - Hanwell Town	2:1

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