Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 30

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.45	3.5	2.47
	2.49	3.58	2.48
	2.56	3.54	2.56
	2.45	3.44	2.43
	2.45	3.5	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	3.48 ↓ (3.53)	2.48 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
37%

Draw
26.2%

Hanwell Town
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hanwell Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Winchester City - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Seabrook H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, Wright T. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 16 and 10).

Recent matches Winchester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hanwell Town is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
01.02.25	Walton & Hersham - Winchester City	4:2 ✺
25.01.25	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Winchester City - Marlow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
04.02.25	Hanwell Town - Wimborne Town	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:4 ✺
21.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Marlow - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	1:1
17.02.24	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	1:1
14.10.23	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	4:4
15.04.23	Winchester City - Hanwell Town	0:3
12.11.22	Hanwell Town - Winchester City	1:2

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