The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 54.3%
Draw 23%
Hanwell Town 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
19.8%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
17.7%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Hanwell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Merthyr Town - Hanwell Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Rees R. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 1, Hall W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, Bettamer M. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Pendlebury A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Smerdon N. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 4.
Merthyr is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Hanwell Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Merthyr is considered a favorite.
We predict that Merthyr will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Merthyr won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
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