Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dorchester Town		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.78
	2.35	3.27	2.82
	2.35	3.52	2.78	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.31	3.22	2.8
	2.33	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.06)	3.21 ↓ (3.72)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
39.2%

Draw
28.3%

Hanwell Town
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

25.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorchester Town's form might have worsened.

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorchester Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
20', 0 - 1, Krasniqi E. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Pendlebury A. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Wilson J. ⚽,
34', 0 - 4, Nditi R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 4, Daws M. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2.

Dorchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hanwell Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hanwell Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hanwell Town	12	3	5	4	16:15	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Dorchester Town - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
14.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Dorchester Town - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Dorchester Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Sholing - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Hanwell Town - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:2 ✺
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.10.25	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	0:2
04.03.25	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	3:0
19.10.24	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	0:3
13.04.24	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	2:1
06.02.24	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
11.02.23	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	3:0
24.09.22	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	2:1

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