Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Winchester City		Walton & Hersham

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.75	1.94
	3.22	4.1	1.93
	3.25	4.01	1.97
	3.18	3.72	1.94
	3.15	3.75	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.54)	3.87 ↑ (3.74)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
28.9%

Draw
23.8%

Walton & Hersham
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

24.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

23.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Winchester City's form might have worsened.

Walton & Hersham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walton & Hersham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walton & Hersham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Winchester City - Walton & Hersham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Owusu N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Wright T. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Mlambo S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 6).

Recent matches Winchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Walton & Hersham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Winchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Walton & Hersham have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
15.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Winchester City - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
08.10.24	Winchester City - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	5:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Weymouth - Winchester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWL
- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
15.10.24	Walton & Hersham - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Ashford United - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Basingstoke Town - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
20.01.24	Walton & Hersham - Winchester City	3:1
28.11.23	Winchester City - Walton & Hersham	2:1

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