Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Afula		Agudat Sport Ashdod

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.47	3.7	5.5
	1.49	3.75	5.8
	1.5	3.69	6.45
	1.49	3.86	6.4	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)	3.75 ↑ (3.25)	6.03 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
60.9%

Draw
24.1%

Agudat Sport Ashdod
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

27.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Afula's performance.

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agudat Sport Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Afula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	16%	16%

Hapoel Afula - Agudat Sport Ashdod Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 17 - 68%). AS Ashdod will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Afula: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Hapoel Afula is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Agudat Sport Ashdod is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Agudat Sport Ashdod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Afula is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hapoel Afula to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Afula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Afula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.01.23	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ✺
13.01.23	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
09.01.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
05.01.23	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Saba	3:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.12.22	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW
- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.01.23	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
13.01.23	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:0 ✺
06.01.23	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:0 ✺
23.12.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Afula	2:1
21.02.22	Hapoel Afula - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:1
05.11.21	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Afula	1:0

Hapoel Afula - Agudat Sport Ashdod