Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 37

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Hapoel Afula		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.48	2.58
	4.37	1.99	2.42
	4.72	2.01	2.79	Watch
	3.28	2.72	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.6)	2.3 ↓ (3.26)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
23.7%

Draw
40%

Kafr Qasim
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Afula's form might have worsened.

Kafr Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Afula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kafr Qasim will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Brik Y. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Bitan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Afula won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kafr Qasim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Afula won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Afula won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14
8	MS Kafr Qasim	8	4	1	3	12:8	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Kafr Qasim - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.05.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	4:1 ✺
15.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTTL
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.05.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
11.05.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
30.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	1:2
28.09.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	0:4
16.05.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	0:1
28.03.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	2:0
13.12.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	0:0
19.04.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	0:1
02.02.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	1:1

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