Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday


	Agudat Sport Ashdod		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.4	3.1	2.03
	3.82	2.82	2.13
	3.48	3.24	2.01
	3.4	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.81)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.04 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agudat Sport Ashdod
26.1%

Draw
29.4%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agudat Sport Ashdod's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agudat Sport Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. AS Ashdod will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Nazareth: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Agudat Sport Ashdod is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Nazareth is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maccabi Nazareth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Agudat Sport Ashdod won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Agudat Sport Ashdod won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
11.12.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	1:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.12.22	Ironi Tiberias - Agudat Sport Ashdod	4:1 ✺
11.11.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Hapoel Acre - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLLWL
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
16.12.22	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Tzofi Haifa	5:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:3 ✺
11.11.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2 ✺
04.11.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
22.08.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Agudat Sport Ashdod	0:0
18.03.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:2
10.12.21	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0

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