Match Info

Leumit League - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel


	Hapoel Afula		Hapoel Acre

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.05	1.45
	6.44	4.15	1.48
	6.17	4.05	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (4.69)	4.08 ↑ (3.56)	1.46 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
15%

Draw
22.4%

Hapoel Acre
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.8%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25.4%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hapoel Acre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Acre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Acre than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Acre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Acre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hapoel Acre will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Twizer R. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Mizrahi Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Mizrahi Y. (Pen),
82', 2 - 2, Twizer R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Afula won 0.

Recent form of Hapoel Afula has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Hapoel Acre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hapoel Acre is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Afula won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Afula won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 0.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Afula	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Afula	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL
- Hapoel Acre
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.10.25	Hapoel Acre - Bnei Yehuda	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Acre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
04.04.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	2:1
20.12.24	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	2:1
09.10.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Acre	1:1
24.05.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Acre	1:1
08.03.24	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	1:0
01.12.23	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Acre	1:0
17.03.23	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	1:0

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