Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Azor		Holon Yermiyahu

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.25	2.15
	2.69	3.29	2.4	Watch
	2.71	3.2	2.32
	2.54	3.14	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.73)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	2.34 (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Azor
33.3%

Draw
28.1%

Holon Yermiyahu
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

27%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Azor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Holon Yermiyahu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Holon Yermiyahu aligns with the current prediction.

Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 0, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Holon Yermiyahu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Azor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hapoel Azor	6	2	2	2	5:7	-2	8
12	Holon Yermiyahu	5	2	1	2	3:5	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Holon Yermiyahu - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.01.26	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Tzeirei Tira	0:3 ✺
02.01.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Azor	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Hapoel Azor - Kfar Saba 1928	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLT
- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
11.01.26	Dimona - Holon Yermiyahu	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
31.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	3:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
18.12.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Tzeirei Tira	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
05.09.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Azor	0:0
08.04.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Azor	2:2
13.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu	0:2
08.03.22	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Azor	0:3
09.11.21	Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu	0:2
09.04.21	Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0
19.02.21	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Azor	3:2

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