Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Nordia Jerusalem		Maccabi Yavne

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.45	1.68
	4.31	3.61	1.71	Watch
	4.69	3.42	1.68
	4.5	3.33	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.85)	3.45 (3.45)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
20.3%

Draw
26.2%

Maccabi Yavne
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.8%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Maccabi Yavne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Yavne than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Nir Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Elmaliach L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordia Jerusalem won 2.

Nordia Jerusalem has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maccabi Yavne is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Maccabi Yavne is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nordia Jerusalem won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nordia Jerusalem won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Maccabi Yavne	6	2	3	1	9:3	6	9
18	Nordia Jerusalem	6	0	0	6	2:18	-16	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Dimona	0:2 ✺
31.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLT
- Maccabi Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	5:0 ✺
10.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Herzliya	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Yavne	2:3 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Yavne - Beitar Yavne	2:2 ✺
18.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
12.09.25	Maccabi Yavne - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1
Israeli Liga Alef Promotion Play Offs
15.05.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	2:1
Israeli Liga Alef South
24.01.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	1:0
20.09.24	Maccabi Yavne - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1
15.03.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	0:2
21.12.23	Maccabi Yavne - Nordia Jerusalem	1:0
20.03.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	0:2

Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide