Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Slavia Prague

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.65
	5	4	1.67
	4.7	4	1.7
	5	3.7	1.66
	5.31	4.01	1.67
	5.25	3.7	1.67
	5.4	3.88	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.17)	3.9 ↑ (3.53)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
18.6%

Draw
24.5%

Slavia Prague
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26.8%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

17.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slavia Prague's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	9.6%	75%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Slavia Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Slavia Prague will win (votes: 39 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Prague: 63.2% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - HaMoshava Stadium.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has a chance of round of 32 (28%), has a small chance of round of 16 (9%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Slavia Prague has a chance of round of 32 (50%), has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Slavia Prague is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0 ✺
24.09.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
17.09.20	Laçi - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.09.20	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
30.08.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW
- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
04.10.20	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.20	Midtjylland - Slavia Prague	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.09.20	Slavia Prague - Slovácko	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.09.20	Slavia Prague - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.09.20	Slavia Prague - Teplice	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWTW

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